Note: We have two options for watching the electoral map populate. The other page combines live results with a pre-election forecast. It is similar to the pages we have for Senate, House and Governor.

The map will populate as a winner is projected in each state. Starting with the final forecast of the model powering our 2020 election simulator, candidate and state probabilities will update in the tables below the map.

Live Vote Totals: Select a state on the map.

Results as of: Mar 13, 2023 3:20 PM EDT

A winner has been projected for the states in this table. They are listed chronologically with the most recent state to be called at the top. When each state is called, the Total Electoral Votes in that row reflect all the states called to that point. Those numbers in the top row will match what is on the above map. The Winning % in that row is the updated forecast probability that Trump or Biden will win the election, based on all the states called to that point. The Median EV is the midpoint forecast of final electoral votes, while the Range shows the distribution of realistic final outcomes.

*** Too few simulations remain to calculate

1Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. There may be small variations from row to row ( 295% of simulated elections fall within this range.

When a winner is projected for one of these states, it will move to the table above and be added to the electoral map. The probabilities for each state remaining will update, as we discard simulations that don’t match the actual results.

You can sort this table by any of the columns. The latest poll closing times for each state are shown.‡ This is the earliest time a winner will be projected.

‡This is not an official schedule. Do not rely on it to determine when to vote.